JamesAndrix comments on Test Your Calibration! - Less Wrong
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Wow, hmm I took quiz 1 so far, and all my high confidence answer groups all scored much lower. For now I blame too much experience with easy multiple choice tests. I only got 19 out of 50 overall
Another problem, I think :
Now I thought I was choosing 25% when I didn't know the answer, but this seems to indicate that I had some information, and was biased against playing my (sometimes correct) hunches when marking 25%.