whpearson comments on A Less Wrong singularity article? - Less Wrong

28 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 17 November 2009 02:15PM

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Comment author: whpearson 17 November 2009 11:26:53PM 1 point [-]

I want to see an explosion in the efficacy of software, not simply the amount that is written.

Comment author: timtyler 18 November 2009 12:03:45AM *  1 point [-]

Software is gradually getting better. If you want to see how fast machine intelligence software is progressing, one reasonably-well measured area is chess/go ratings.

Comment author: DanArmak 18 November 2009 05:19:23PM 1 point [-]

How can progress in such a narrow problem be representative of the efficacy of software either in some general sense or versus other narrow problems?

Also: what is the improvement over time of machine chess playing ability due to software changes once you subtract hardware improvements? I remember seeing vague claims that chess performance over the decades stayed fairly true to Moore's Law, i.e. scaled with hardware. As a lower bound this is entirely unsurprising, since naive chess implementations (walk game tree to depth X) scale easily with both core speed and number of cores.