= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
wedrifid comments on In conclusion: in the land beyond money pumps lie extreme events - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (21)
If you had such an attitude then the lottery is irrelevant. You don't care what the 'world-saving probability' is so don't need to manipulate it.
Yes, but you can manipulate whether the world getting saved had anything to do with you, and you can influence what kind of world you survive into.
If you make a low-probability, high reward bet that and really commit to donating the money to an X-risks organization, you may find yourself winning that bet more often than you would probabilistically expect.
In general, QI means that you care about the nature of your survival, but not whether you survive.