wedrifid comments on Contrarianism and reference class forecasting - Less Wrong

26 Post author: taw 25 November 2009 07:41PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (90)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: wedrifid 26 November 2009 02:03:40PM 0 points [-]

It may matter because, if many scenarios have costly solutions that are very specific and don't help at all with other scenarios, and you can only afford to build a few solutions, you don't know which ones to choose.

This is a good point. Fortunately as it happens we can just create an FAI and pray unto Him to 'deliver us from evil'.