= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Vladimir_Nesov comments on Contrarianism and reference class forecasting - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (90)
Agreed with the first part and with the heuristic, but taw is using the possibility of politicization as an element of reference class membership. Honestly, I wouldn't even consider global warming to be a "political issue". The science seems completely trivial to understand at the object level.
I'd be shocked if it is.