toto comments on Contrarianism and reference class forecasting - Less Wrong
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IIRC Jensen's original argument was based on very high estimates for IQ heritability (>.8). When within-group heritability is so high, a simple statistical argument makes it very likely that large between-group differences contain at least a genetic component. The only alternative would be that some unknown environmental factor would depress all blacks equally (a varying effect would reduce within-group heritability), which is not very plausible.
Now that estimates of IQ heritability have been revised down to .5, the argument loses much of its power.
Bouchard's recent meta-analysis upholds such high estimates, at least for adulthood. These are the figures listed on Table 1 (p. 150):
Did you type the number for Age 16 correctly? I can think of no sensible reason why there should be a divot there.
I uploaded Bouchard's paper here. I also uploaded Snyderman and Rothman's study here.
Yes, the figure is correct.