CronoDAS comments on Morality and International Humanitarian Law - Less Wrong

2 Post author: David_J_Balan 30 November 2009 03:27AM

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Comment author: CronoDAS 01 December 2009 03:06:13AM *  2 points [-]

I would put Pakistan in the "potential target for destruction" category before North Korea. I'm more scared of Islamists with nukes than North Korea with nukes. North Korea is essentially a country run by the Mafia; they're not going to nuke anything if there's no money in it and their power and wealth are not threatened. Islamists believe that if they get blown up by a nuclear weapon, they go to Paradise. They might very well prefer mutual annihilation to mutual coexistence.

What odds would you give on a nuclear weapon being detonated in Israel in the next fifty years?

Comment author: wedrifid 01 December 2009 12:20:35PM 1 point [-]

What odds would you give on a nuclear weapon being detonated in Israel in the next fifty years?

I only give odds if I think the person I'm betting with knows less than me (or bets irrationally).