By coincidence, two blog posts went up today that should be of interest to people here.

Gene Callahan argues that Bayesianism lacks the ability to smoothly update beliefs as new evidence arrives, forcing the Bayesian to irrationally reset priors.

Tyler Cowen offering a reason why the CRU hacked emails should raise our confidence in AGW. An excellent exercise in framing an issue in Bayesian terms. Also discusses metaethical issues related to bending rules.

(Needless to say, I don't agree with either of these arguments, but they're great for application of your own rationality.)