Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Intuitive supergoal uncertainty - Less Wrong

4 Post author: JustinShovelain 04 December 2009 05:21AM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 December 2009 08:42:18AM 1 point [-]

That is a strange little chapter, but I should note that if you talk about the probability that you will make some future probability estimate, then the distribution of a future probability estimate does make a good way of talking about the instability of a state of knowledge. As opposed to the notion of talking about the probability of a current probability estimate, which sounds much more like you're doing something wrong.