Less Wrong is a community blog devoted to refining the art of human rationality. Please visit our About page for more information.

externalmonologue comments on Parapsychology: the control group for science - Less Wrong

62 Post author: AllanCrossman 05 December 2009 10:50PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (185)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: externalmonologue 27 November 2010 05:14:04PM 0 points [-]

One in a bajillion? You are saying you actually know how complex psi is without even saying what aspect of psi you are talking about.

We know biology is very complex. So when testing a supplement like creatine, the pseudoskeptic could say "biology is extremely complex. We do not know the mechanism that makes creatine work so I assign a very low bayesian probability. Today I feel like a hundred trillion to one".

Keep in mind this is after several studies have shown an effect in the predicted direction whose odds are not easily explained by chance. Indeed, there is nothing wrong with you assertion about complexity just the subjective part where you assign a number to a phenomena you are not very familiar with.

Comment author: wedrifid 27 November 2010 05:33:03PM 3 points [-]

One in a bajillion? You are saying you actually know how complex psi is without even saying what aspect of psi you are talking about.

Bajillion isn't exactly a precise measure. In this context it means 'lots'. That isn't hard to assign to the all aspects of psi.