nerzhin comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong

31 Post author: komponisto 09 December 2009 04:25AM

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Comment author: nerzhin 09 December 2009 05:12:58PM 1 point [-]

I'm putting myself in the "low familiarity" category.

  1. estimate Amanda Knox is guilty: 40%
  2. estimate Raffaele Sollecito is guilty: 40%
  3. estimate Rudy Guede is guilty: 90%
  4. not confident at all that my estimates correspond to komponisto's

I got most of my information from the "defendants are innocent" link and the Wikipedia article - I found the "defendants guilty" link hard to read or assess. I did not spend much time forming my opinion, just a quick browse.