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komponisto comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong
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Do I think my assessment will coincide with yours? Of course I do, we're supposed to be rationalists!
I had zero familiarity with the case before reading the links provided, and did not read any of the comments in reaching my estimate.
I admit to having non-trivially updated based on my perception of the lack of seriousness of the pro-conviction site's domain name (what is this, Marvel Comics?)
How much of a shift do you think this accounted for? What would your estimates have been if the same site had been called something different?
The name is just one piece of evidence. Overall the pro-conviction site did not impress me at all. It seemed to be full of irrelevant statements, and things like site usage statistics.