jimmy comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong
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Comments (260)
I think this is an interesting exercise which can be quite useful even if we can't find the answer in the back of the book afterwards.
It'd also be interesting to see what everyones second guess is, after conditioning on the beliefs in the comments.
I'm now "pretty sure" that Knox and Sollecito are innocent and Guede is guilty, though I'd have to think a bit in order to translate to numbers.