mattnewport comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong

31 Post author: komponisto 09 December 2009 04:25AM

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Comment author: mattnewport 09 December 2009 11:09:16PM 4 points [-]

The Italian courts decided all three are guilty which immediately suggests that people are likely to be considering that possibility. Any combination of two of the three suspects is also plausible. There is no particular reason to expect people's probabilities to sum to 100%.

Comment author: RolfAndreassen 10 December 2009 05:25:52PM 0 points [-]

Ah so. Serves me right for not reading the provided links. :)