lordweiner27 comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong

31 Post author: komponisto 09 December 2009 04:25AM

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Comment author: mattnewport 10 December 2009 01:01:24AM *  4 points [-]

I had a quick look for some statistics to verify my priors that both female on female murder and multiple offender murder are unusual. These data seem relevant: gender; multiple offenders. These appear to back up my intuition that finding a very likely male suspect (Guede) should have greatly reduced the prosecution's odds for the guilt of a female suspect (Knox) in a multiple offender attack. A plausible case for a male offender committing the crime alone should greatly lower the probability of guilt of a female suspect acting either alone or as an accomplice.

Comment author: lordweiner27 10 December 2009 02:08:17AM *  1 point [-]

Sure this type of murder is rare, otherwise it wouldn't have made the news. That's not evidence the other two aren't guilty. Not when we have her hand on the knife and his foot in her blood.