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kodos96 comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong
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Ahhhh... 0.15 isn't 15x 0.1
It's probably justified simply by priors re male/female committing rape/murder
<0.1 includes values like 0.00000001, y'know. So technically I'm not wrong... But you're right, I saw .1 and .15 and forgot that that was 1.5x, not 15x. (That would require .01)