Douglas_Knight comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong

31 Post author: komponisto 09 December 2009 04:25AM

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Comment author: Douglas_Knight 11 December 2009 08:44:16PM * 3 points [-]

Is this an arithmetic mean or a geometric mean?

Which is the correct mean to use for averaging probabilities, anyway?

The arithmetic mean of the log odds is pretty natural. It is 27%, but the median looks like 30% to me.