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gwern comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong
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Not sure what you are thinking, but to clarify: I meant an encounter between just Meredith and Guede, nothing to do with Knox or Sollecito. I could see a single guy (Guede) expecting sex and then resorting to rape and then murder to cover it.
(And I suspect the jury is on average better than the populace, since just about every country gives into the temptation to lard on extra conditions like 'if you're a felon you forfeit forever rights such as being on a jury or voting', which would disparately affect the lower percentiles.)
Ah, I thought you referred to an encounter between all of them. In this case, I agree with you - that's also what I think happened.
Regarding the juries: I've read to many reports about bad juries than to believe in them, and the fact that they are almost certainly less educated than a judge still remains.
The Italian system is different from ours. This particular jury included two judges.
That's an interesting variant. There may well be advantages to such a system to counterbalance the disadvantages. I know, for example, that I just felt my 'confidence of innocence' adjust itself downwards. (I would expect a judge to be more likely to be corrupt than a random citizen but also to have less naive vulnerability to obvious manipulations. The latter is relevant here.)
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