DanArmak comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong

31 Post author: komponisto 09 December 2009 04:25AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (260)
Tags: survey biases calibration bayesian current_affairs

Comments (260)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: bgrah449 15 December 2009 10:30:18PM *  1 point [-]

The first thing I saw was that Ann Coulter is convinced that Amanda and Raffaele are guilty. I immediately moved my belief in their guilt way down. When Ann Coulter takes a strong position on a controversial issue, she is almost always wrong.

Okay, I'll bite. Could you name a few examples of this, especially the ones that cemented this belief?

Comment author: DanArmak 15 December 2009 10:39:15PM 1 point [-]

For a claim that she is almost always wrong 'a few' examples won't be substantial evidence - assuming she has more than a few opinions. We'd need either an almost exhaustive catalog of her opinions, or a way to sample them in a sufficiently random fashion.

Comment author: k3nt 18 December 2009 05:20:45AM 3 points [-]

Agreed. All that I have is a highly unscientific impression based on my own personal experiences with her. So far she's batting pretty close to 1.000 though.

The fact that the consensus of this community is contrary to Coulter's conclusion I'm counting as one more data point.

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit