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telms comments on You Be the Jury: Survey on a Current Event - Less Wrong
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Guesstimates based on quick reading without serious analysis:
(1) Probability that Amnda Knox is guilty: 5%
(2) Probablility that Raffaele Sollecito is guilty: 10%
(3) Probability that Gudy Guede is guilty: 60%
(4) Probability that my estimates are congruent with OP's: 50% (ie random, I can't tell what his opinion is)