Jayson_Virissimo comments on What Are Probabilities, Anyway? - Less Wrong

22 Post author: Wei_Dai 11 December 2009 12:25AM

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Comment author: Wei_Dai 11 December 2009 09:29:36AM 2 points [-]

In this view, rationality doesn't play a role in choosing the initial weights on the possible universes. That job would be handed over to moral philosophy, just like choosing the right utility function already is.

So why not shun rationality all together if probabilities are actually arbitrary - if thinking it really does make it so?

No, thinking it doesn't make it so. Even in this view, the right beliefs and decisions aren't arbitrary, because they depend in a lawful way on your preferences. You still want to be rational in order to make the best decisions to satisfy your preferences.

Comment author: Jayson_Virissimo 11 December 2009 11:56:31PM 0 points [-]
Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 12 December 2009 12:28:34AM 2 points [-]

Epistemic rationality can be seen as a kind of instrumental rationality. See Scoring rule, Epistemic vs. Instrumental Rationality: Approximations.