The APS Observer magazine has a fantastic article on the power of false confessions to warp our perception of other evidence in a criminal case to the point where expert witnesses will change their judgements of unrelated evidence to make it fit the false admission of guilt.
The post and linked article are worth reading… and I don't have much to add.
Wow, that sucks. Note to fingerprint experts: P(fingerprints|guilt) is not the same thing as P(guilt|fingerprints,confession). You don't get to use the latter for the former. That's an information cascade.
First paragraph from a Mind Hacks post:
The post and linked article are worth reading… and I don't have much to add.