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Jawaka comments on The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom - Less Wrong
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It might have been more useful to ask for confidence intervals around probabilities. Maybe that should become the standard around here?
That way, I imagine people who did not care so much about the topic/do as much research, would have had a way to indicate the fact.
I feel the same way. I set the probabilities to 25 (not G alone) / 75 (G alone) after half an hour of reading, just because I wanted to have room to be more confident after 2 hours of reading.