komponisto comments on The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom - Less Wrong

42 Post author: komponisto 13 December 2009 04:16AM

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Tags: applied bayesian rationality crime current_affairs evpsych practical psychology

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Comment author: brazil84 19 December 2009 02:40:10AM 1 point [-]

Mainly because (1) there is evidence of alteration/staging; and (2) Knox and Sollecito are still unable to give accounts of the evening (and next morning) which are reasonably coherent and consistent.

Comment author: komponisto 19 December 2009 02:44:00AM 0 points [-]

How many total bits of evidence against Knox and Sollecito do you think these things are worth?

Comment author: brazil84 19 December 2009 02:48:00AM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure . . . I'm ignorant of the evaluation of evidence in terms of "bits." Is there some link you can give me?

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 19 December 2009 02:56:23AM *  1 point [-]

[...] evaluation of evidence in terms of "bits." Is there some link you can give me?

Comment author: komponisto 19 December 2009 02:50:46AM 0 points [-]

Yes.

Comment author: brazil84 19 December 2009 02:54:20AM 0 points [-]

If my math is correct, I would say somewhere between 3 and 4 bits.

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