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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on The Correct Contrarian Cluster - Less Wrong
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While that would make it harder to distinguish between LW members, that doesn't mean game over.
If we already expect LW members to be more correct, it still might be usefull to poll LW members about what views they have that are:
1) contrarian 2) on topics that most LW members haven't thought about very hard 3) important
Using something along the lines of the Amanda Knox litmus test but with no previous posts on it, one presumes?
I thought the Amanda Knox test was fascinating, but mostly for the implications it had about rationality, not so much that the fact that this specific convict is in fact innocent.
Things like the shangri-la diet are closer to what I was thinking, since that has potentially huge consequences on its own.
The closet survey is also close to what I had in mind, with a little less emphasis on my #2. It'd also be interesting to see what happens if that that survey was done again, now that we have a better idea of what the shared beliefs are.