Kaj_Sotala comments on The 9/11 Meta-Truther Conspiracy Theory - Less Wrong

43 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 22 December 2009 06:59PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (178)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Kaj_Sotala 25 December 2009 09:11:25AM 0 points [-]

I think we might have slightly different definitions for "undecided". I might consider a subjective belief of .95 for something not having happened as "undecided", if the associated weight of evidence isn't large.

Still, upon consideration, you're right. I've revised my estimate from "undecided" to "don't think there was a (malicious) conspiracy".

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 25 December 2009 09:19:31AM 3 points [-]

I might consider a subjective belief of .95 for something not having happened as "undecided", if the associated weight of evidence isn't large.

Right. So if you expect further investigation to change your belief (you can't know which way), you say it's undecided.

Comment author: Kaj_Sotala 25 December 2009 09:32:19AM 1 point [-]

That's a pretty good way of describing it, yes.