BenAlbahari comments on TakeOnIt: Database of Expert Opinions - Less Wrong

17 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 January 2010 08:54PM

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Comment author: BenAlbahari 27 March 2010 09:18:06AM *  2 points [-]

TakeOnIt now predicts expert opinions, using collaborative filtering. It also identifes whether an expert's known opinions are conforming or non-conforming relative to the group of experts they typically align with. It's a first attempt. It should improve over time with 1) algorithm refinement 2) more data.

Examples:

Robin Hanson's Opinions
Eliezer Yudkowsky's Opinions
Barack Obama's Opinions

Note that ambiguous questions like "Does God Exist?" dilute the quality of the predictions (in this case, many experts agree that a "metaphorical" God exists). It may therefore be a good idea to split that question into separate questions to avoid this issue.