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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on On the Power of Intelligence and Rationality - Less Wrong
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...and you can draw a pretty direct line from the part where Hitler was insane to Nazi military defeats, so if you zoom in up close I'm not sure it supports the main thesis.
This was exactly where my Great-Great Uncle had his great letdown in WWII (and even more so after the war when he learned of the Concentration Camps. My Uncle was at sea on the Scharnhorst the whole war). When the Kriegsmarine began to get orders directly from Herr Hitler they knew that the end was near, as many of the orders directly contravened known naval practices.
Could you elaborate on the "not so sure it supports the main thesis" a bit please?
Once zoomed in, insanity starts to look like quite a bit of a disadvantage on the microstructure, and rationalist skills (like knowing your own incompetence) like quite a bit of an advantage.
Like not going for the Middle East, but focusing on Russia. I had grown used to the idea that Allied victory was pretty much ensured, at least by the entry of the US into the war. Reading about how Hitler's generals really, really wanted him to go through Egypt to the oil was unsettling.