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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong
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For the next decade: collaborative filtering.
Based on this article on collaborative filtering, we already have it. Every time I buy anything online, I am told what other products people buy who also bought what I bought. It is the central component of the StumbleUpon service.
So, what are you predicting?
I'm predicting that in 2020 you'll look back at this blog comment and say, "Wow, he sure called that one."
I think it's more likely people will say "too vague a prediction".
I don't know. It makes sense; but I thought the same thing in 1999.
There is a lot of interest in using CF to sell people more mass-market things, eg Netflix; less interest in helping people find obscure things from the long tail that they might have a special interest in; still less interest in using CF for social networking.
Just one word: plastics.