timtyler comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong

18 Post author: MichaelVassar 30 December 2009 09:39PM

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Comment author: MichaelVassar 30 December 2009 10:00:12PM 1 point [-]

My first prediction is that as is usually the case, political and random events will change the way people live far more over the next year than technology will. Given the current state of the financial system, I would place about even odds on politics having more impact than technology over the next decade, but with the caveat that over such a long time scale political and technological events will surely be interwoven.

Comment author: timtyler 31 December 2009 09:48:46AM 1 point [-]

It seems pretty vague - do you have any ideas about how this should be measured?