MichaelVassar comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong

18 Post author: MichaelVassar 30 December 2009 09:39PM

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Comment author: MichaelVassar 31 December 2009 10:05:08PM 1 point [-]

Well under 30% certainly, but I wouldn't give it under 4%. A decade is long and the US is young.

Comment author: komponisto 31 December 2009 10:27:06PM 0 points [-]

I think a draft is much more likely.