Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong

18 Post author: MichaelVassar 30 December 2009 09:39PM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 01 January 2010 07:30:47AM 0 points [-]

For the next decade: Videoconferencing.

Comment author: Baughn 01 January 2010 12:08:57PM 3 points [-]

Videoconferencing what, exactly?

I've been using it for years. I'm not sure how to correctly expand your sentence, and it shouldn't be subject to interpretation.

Comment author: Unknowns 01 January 2010 01:22:13PM *  3 points [-]

Eliezer seems to be predicting that videoconferencing will become common in the next decade. Yes, some use it now, but it is still not common. I predict that it will not become common until someone uses a utility to modify your appearance so that when you look at the eyes of the person on the screen, your image on the remote end will look like it is looking at the eyes of the person on the other end. This might well be developed in much less than 10 years, however.

Comment author: whpearson 01 January 2010 12:27:28PM 3 points [-]

I suspect Eliezer is making broad predictions about what is important in the next 10 years. As if someone said smartphone for the next decade in 2000. Not giving too much detail makes it more likely to be true...

Comment author: Jack 01 January 2010 01:13:34PM 5 points [-]

coughmakingbeliefspayrentcough