xamdam comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong

18 Post author: MichaelVassar 30 December 2009 09:39PM

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Comment author: Vladimir_Golovin 01 January 2010 02:59:10PM *  12 points [-]

I'm 90% confident that the cinematic uncanny valley will be crossed in the next decade. The number applies to movies only, it doesn't apply to humanoid robots (1%) and video game characters (5%).

Edit: After posting this, I thought that my 90% estimate was underconfident, but then I remembered that we started the decade with Jar-Jar Binks and Gollum, and it took us almost ten years to reach the level of Emily and Jake Sully.

Comment author: xamdam 02 July 2010 05:39:10PM 1 point [-]

Interesting, it seems that they are currently ahead with image synthesis than voice/speech synthesis.