gwern comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong
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For the next decade:
I'd bet about a 2:3 odds that energy consumption will grow on a par or less than population growth.
Any rise in average standard of living will come from making manufacturing/logistics more efficient, or a redistribution from the very rich to the less well off. There is still scope for increased efficiency by reducing the transport of people and more automation.
http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1663