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Kevin comments on New Year's Predictions Thread - Less Wrong
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By 2020, an Earth-like habitable extrasolar planet is detected. I would take a wager on this one but doubt anyone would give me even odds.
Will anyone give me even odds if the bet is by 2015?
When Will the First Earth-like Planet Be Discovered?
http://arbesman.net/blog/2010/09/13/when-will-the-first-earth-like-planet-be-discovered/