Cyan comments on Open Thread: January 2010 - Less Wrong
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Yudkowsky briefly addressed moral luck:
Lately I've actually been thinking that maybe we should split up morality into two concepts, and deal with them separately: one referring to moral sentiments, and another referring to what we actually do. It seems like a lot of discussions of utilitarianism versus deontology treat them as two arbitrary viewpoints or positions, but insofar as my thinking has trended utilitarian lately, it hasn't been because I'm attracted to a utilitarian position, but because Cox's theorem [edit: sic] forces it. Even if I draw up a set of rights that I think must not be violated, I'm still going to have to make decisions under uncertainty, which I would guess means acting to minimize the expected number of rights-violations.
Cox's theorem doesn't deal with utility, only plausibility. The utility stuff comes from looking at preference relations -- some big names there are von Neumann, Morgenstern and L.J. Savage.
Also keyword, "Dutch book".
Right, I knew that. Thanks.