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whpearson comments on Drawing Two Aces - Less Wrong
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V guvax gur reebe vf urer.
Engure gur cebonovyvgl lbh unir gur n fcrpvsvp npr vf 1/2 naq gur cbffvovyvgl gerr sbe rnpu npr frcnengryl tvirf n 1/3 punapr bs univat obgu nprf. Tvivat n 2/6 be 1/3 punapr bs univat obgu nprf va gbgny.
Va fubeg, vg vf abg rdhvyvxryl gb unir rnpu bs gur 5 pbzovangvbaf.
Edit: This is wrong feel free to ignore.