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Kaj_Sotala comments on Drawing Two Aces - Less Wrong
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I'm almost done putting a diagram together, if you want it.
Please do show it.
The colors of the squares in the grids show how you'd answer the question 'Is your preferred ace the ace of spades?' and whether you have 1 or 2 aces. The 'P=' notation in the corner of each grid shows what you're preferring; in the first case you always prefer the first ace drawn; the latter two are meant to be read together and assume that you're picking which ace you prefer ahead of time with a coin toss. The red and green squares to the side show how many of each response you could see in each case.
Thanks that cleared it up for me. I've been trying analyse where I went wrong. I reformulated the question in a way that I didn't notice lost information
Also, simply asking "Do you have the ace of spades?' returns a chart that looks like the P=AS one; red (and peach, if 'Do you have an ace?' isn't asked first) squares are instances where you answer 'No', and the remaining 4 light green and 2 dark green squares show the 1 in 3 chance that you have 2 aces given that you answered 'Yes'.