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ideclarecrockerrules comments on When does an insight count as evidence? - Less Wrong
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If you are envisioning some sort of approximation of Bayesian reasoning, perhaps one dealing with an ordinal set of probabilities, a framework that is useful in everyday circumstances, I would love to see that suggested, tested and evolving.
It would have to encompass a heuristic for determining the importance of observations, as well as their reliability and general procedures for updating beliefs based on those observations (paired with their reliability).
Was such a thing discussed on LW?
Let me be the first to say I like your username, though I wonder if you'll regret it occasionally...
P.S. Welcome to Less Wrong!
Thank you, and thank you for the link; didn't occur to me to check for such a topic.