MichaelGR comments on Fictional Evidence vs. Fictional Insight - Less Wrong
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I agree, and I'm updating my position.
My thoughts were more along the lines of:
"Up to now, if we had had to wait for serious studies, most of us would never have been exposed to certain futuristic ideas and insights about those ideas (which can then lead to more serious thought)."
But you are absolutely right that the ideal state would be deliberate analysis.