CarlShulman comments on Reference class of the unclassreferenceable - Less Wrong

25 Post author: taw 08 January 2010 04:13AM

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Comment author: taw 08 January 2010 04:53:28AM 1 point [-]

These were slow gradual changes which added up over time. Now is a new world if looking from 400 years ago, but it's not that spectacularly different from even 50 years ago (if you try listing features of world now; world 50 years ago; and randomly selected time and place in human history - correlation between two will be vast). I don't deny that we'll have a lot of change in the future, and it will add up to something world changing.

Singularity is not about such slow processes; it's belief in sudden coming of the new world - as far as I can tell such beliefs were never correct.

Comment author: CarlShulman 08 January 2010 06:38:06AM 3 points [-]

Sudden relative to timescales of previous changes. See Robin's outside view argument for a Singularity.