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djcb comments on Savulescu: "Genetically enhance humanity or face extinction" - Less Wrong
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Could you elaborate a bit on this analysis? It'd be interesting how you arrived at that number.
Thanks, that was indeed interesting.
Now, the only point I do not understand yet is how the expectations of the original AI researchers are a factor in this. Do you have some reason to believe that their expectations were too optimistic by a factor of about 10 (1970 vs 2100) rather than some other number?