komponisto comments on Advancing Certainty - Less Wrong
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What, like 1/3^^^3? There isn't that much information in the universe, and come to think, I'm not sure I can conceive of any stream of evidence which would drive the probability that low in the Knox case, because there are complicated hypotheses much less complicated than that in which you're in a computer simulation expressly created for the purpose of deluding you about the Amanda Knox case.
I thought I was stating a mathematical tautology. I didn't say there was enough information in the universe to get below 1/3^^^3. The point was only that the information controls the probability.