Tyrrell_McAllister comments on Advancing Certainty - Less Wrong
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Comments (108)
What, like 1/3^^^3? There isn't that much information in the universe, and come to think, I'm not sure I can conceive of any stream of evidence which would drive the probability that low in the Knox case, because there are complicated hypotheses much less complicated than that in which you're in a computer simulation expressly created for the purpose of deluding you about the Amanda Knox case.
There seems to be a deep idea here, but I don't yet see that the numbers really balance out. I would appreciate it if you made a top-level post elaborating on this.