Alicorn comments on Advancing Certainty - Less Wrong

34 Post author: komponisto 18 January 2010 09:51AM

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Comment author: Bo102010 18 January 2010 06:22:22PM *  1 point [-]

Maybe I'm not understanding your point.

If the odds of winning are one in 100 million, you could very well expect to make a million statements of "I will not win the lottery" and not be right once.

Comment author: Alicorn 18 January 2010 06:41:58PM 5 points [-]

There's a non-negligible chance that you've been misinformed or are mistaken about the odds of winning.