= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
RobinZ comments on The Prediction Hierarchy - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (37)
So, upon learning that my calculations were wrong, am I correct in saying that my new probability estimate - before doing any further calculations - should become whatever my prior probability was before I did the calculation?
Let me be more precise: before you see anything wrong with your calculations, you have no real reason to expect locating an error in them to give you evidence of anything specific. Therefore, when doing your initial post-calculations, the prior probability is appropriate.
After you find an error in your calculations, you can usually fix the error in your calculations.