Cyan comments on My Fundamental Question About Omega - Less Wrong

6 Post author: MrHen 10 February 2010 05:26PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (151)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 10 February 2010 08:49:52PM 1 point [-]

To me the scenario seems to be as simple as: If Omega predicts X, X will happen. If X wouldn't have happened, Omega wouldn't predict X.

Sounds like you might be having confusion resulting from circular mental causal models. You've got an arrow from Omega to X. Wrong direction. You want to reason, "If X is likely to happen, Omega will predict X."

Comment author: Cyan 10 February 2010 09:17:32PM 6 points [-]

I believe the text you quote is intended to be interpreted as material implication, not causal arrows.