MrHen comments on My Fundamental Question About Omega - Less Wrong

6 Post author: MrHen 10 February 2010 05:26PM

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Comment author: AndyWood 10 February 2010 08:59:43PM *  3 points [-]
  • F = Factors that feed into your decision process.
  • OP = Omega's prediction.
  • YD = Your decision.

  • F --> OP

  • F --> YD

Your decision does not bootstrap itself out of nothing; it is a function of F. All causality here is forwards in time. By the definition of Omega, OP and YD always match, and the causality chain is self-consistent, for a single timeline. Most confusion that I have seen around Omega or Newcomb seems to be confusion about at least one of these things.

Comment author: MrHen 10 February 2010 09:30:46PM 3 points [-]

Yeah, I agree with that.

The catch is that Omega isn't going to show up if it predicts you aren't going to pay. If it showed up, than it must have predicted you are going to pay.