Dan_Moore comments on My Fundamental Question About Omega - Less Wrong

6 Post author: MrHen 10 February 2010 05:26PM

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Comment author: dv82matt 12 February 2010 08:28:51AM 0 points [-]

The basic concept behind Omega is that it is (a) a perfect predictor

I disagree, Omega can have various properties as needed to simplify various thought experiments, but for the purpose of Newcomb-like problems Omega is a very good predictor and may even have a perfect record but is not a perfect predictor in the sense of being perfect in principle or infallible.

If Omega were a perfect predictor then the whole dilemma inherent in Newcomb-like problems ceases to exist and that short circuits the entire point of posing those types of problems.

Comment author: Dan_Moore 12 February 2010 06:06:15PM -1 points [-]

I agree. A perfect predictor is either Laplace’s Demon or a supernatural being. I don’t see why either concept is particularly useful for a rationalist.