RobinZ comments on Easy Predictor Tests - Less Wrong

11 Post author: MrHen 21 January 2010 06:40PM

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Comment author: RobinZ 21 January 2010 11:11:08PM *  0 points [-]

I will not predict that my prediction will be wrong. That would be silly.

I have a file in my home directory which includes my prediction, along with some extraneous text. md5 hash of this file: cc58112f13e9e92495782bac4a9443bc

Edit: wedrifid and AngryParsley have correctly informed me that md5 is broken. sha1 hash: 0cc4e8bd90a897c2f0d0c561780f69561b7af072

Comment author: RobinZ 29 January 2010 12:50:00AM 1 point [-]

File.

Predicted 1, got 0.

Comment author: wedrifid 29 January 2010 02:23:48AM 0 points [-]

Now that could have been an interesting one to bet on. All kinds of second guessing. Including calibrating the reward size compared to the overheads (ethical and practical) for cheating.

Comment author: RobinZ 29 January 2010 02:48:59AM 0 points [-]

Were it practicable to prevent sabotage...

Comment author: wedrifid 29 January 2010 02:50:54AM 0 points [-]

Just makes the prediction more difficult.

Comment author: RobinZ 29 January 2010 02:51:47AM 0 points [-]

Was thinking on the other end, actually.

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